Thursday, June 20, 2013

Details of the Black murder rate, by state

I happen to find a list of the Black murder rates by state. Actually, I sought this out. My mission was to look at the situation regarding violence in the Black population in a more detailed way, to break it down more.

I found this article
http://www.blackvoicenews.com/news/news-wire/48613-missouri-has-highest-black-murder-victim-rate.html

According to the article by Black Voices News, Missouri has the highest Black murder victim rate in the nation, at 33.86 murders per 100,000. Basically , this is on part with Guatemala, and slightly higher than South Africa's murder rate.

These are the Black murder victim rates by state for 2010(per 100,000 Black residents)
Missouri –  33.86 
Pennsylvania – 26.87
Michigan – 25.61
Nebraska – 25.58
Oklahoma –25.45
Indiana – 23.89
Maine – 22.62
Louisiana – 22.61
Ohio –19.25
California – 19.12
Kansas – 18.84
Wisconsin -18.75
Maryland – 18.65
New Jersey – 17.71
Nevada – 17.30
Illinois – 17.09
West Virginia – 16.76
Tennessee – 16.65
Delaware – 15.74
Massachusetts – 15.45
New York – 15.39
Arkansas -14.82
Texas – 14.19
Connecticut – 13.37
Arizona – 12.70
Georgia – 12.29
Kentucky – 12.08
South Carolina – 11.99
Minnesota – 11.68
Virginia – 11.32
New Mexico – 11.20
Mississippi – 10.71
Colorado – 10.33
Hawaii – 10.04
North Carolina – 10.0
 Alabama – 8.07
Oregon – 7.68
Rhode Island – 6.64
Washington – 5.34
Iowa – 4.33
Utah – 4.18
Alaska – 2.96

North Dakota, South Dakota, Montana, Idaho, Wyoming, Vermont, and New Hampshire all recorded zero Black murders.

As one looks at this list, there is one pattern to note. Among the top 10 states with the highest Black murder rates, there are some violent cities. The top 3, Missouri, Pennsylvania, and Michigan all have violent cities. St. Louis and Detroit in particular are quite violent. Detroit had a murder rate of 34.5 murders per 100,000. A total of 310 murders. St. Louis had a murder rate of 40.5 murders per 100,000. A total of 144 murders. Kansas City, on the western side of I-70, 21.1 murders per 100,000. This would be a total of 102 murders. Between KC and St. Louis, there are about 246 murders in 2010. According to the article, 244 Blacks were murdered. In a state with a Black population around 700,000 residents, that is not good. With the state of Michigan, the biggest number of murders come out of Detroit. For Pennsylvania, the biggest number of murders comes out of Philadelphia. Another state on this list to mention is Louisiana. Louisiana, some people might think that this state would be #1, and it would make sense. Louisiana is home to the nation's murder capital, New Orleans. New Orleans had a murder rate of 49.1 murders per 100,000. The total number of murders for New Orleans was 175, making the city more deadly than St. Louis, on both numbers. Louisiana also has Baton Rouge, which had a murder rate of 33.6 murders per 100,000. There were 75 murders in Baton Rouge in 2010. 338 African-Americans were murdered in Louisiana in 2010. However, Louisiana has over 1 million Black residents, so the numbers added up differently.

Some states some people would not expect to show up on this list(among the top 10) are Maine, Nebraska, and Oklahoma. Maine has a Black population around 1%, Nebraska has a Black population around 4.5%, and Oklahoma has a Black population very close to 8%. Maine has a Black population numbering around 15,000. According to the VPC, there were no Black murders in 2009, and in 2010, there were 5. Considering the very small Black population in Maine, it doesn't take that many murders to inflate its murder rate. I will discuss Oklahoma and Nebraska, and a few other states in the next paragraph.

Oklahoma and Nebraska, well, let's start with Nebraska first. Nebraska has around 82,000 Blacks in the state. Close to 7 out of 10 Blacks in Nebraska live in Omaha. Omaha, oddly enough, has a Black population around 13%, close to the nation's average. However, the Black murder rate for Nebraska, and for Omaha, is above the national average for Blacks.

the Black/White murder gap is higher in Nebraska than in most of the nation and has been this way for a while. One pattern I have noticed is the spatial distribution of Black murders. The highest concentration can be found in cities. Why does this matter? In Nebraska, most of the Black population lives in Omaha. Omaha's Black population is among the poorest in the nation. 6 out of 10 black children live below the poverty line. Gang violence is rampant in poor areas of Omaha, particularly the North side of Omaha, which alot of Omaha's Black population lives. In Oklahoma, most of the population lives in Tulsa and Oklahoma City. This is murders per 100,000. With poverty, overcrowding, gangs, and drugs, alot can happen.

Mississippi has the nation's highest percentage of blacks, 37.3%. It has a relatively low Black murder rate, 10.71 murders per 100,000. North Carolina has a Black murder rate of 10 murders per 100,000, and Alabama has a Black murder rate of 8.07 murders per 100,000. All of these states have large Black populations. All have relatively low Black murder rates. One thing to consider is this. WHERE most of the murders occur. Jackson,MS had a murder rate of 23.5 murders per 100,000. However, Jackson has about 173,000 residents in a state with 2,970,072 residents. About 1,093,275 Black residents live in Mississippi. Considering that Mississippi has a very large rural Black population spread out through the state, there aren't as many murders. I could say the same for Alabama. North Carolina, I would argue that the reverse Great Migration to some southern areas, especially to North Carolina, has brought in educated African-Americans, and middle class African-Americans. For this reason, it could be surmised that the relatively low Black murder rate could be attributed to economics and education. 

And another thing that would be interesting to see is the number of Black American children living in single-parent homes by state. I feel that also having stable, two parent homes would be a major factor in not getting involved with crime. 


A rebuttal to Akinokure's post about "Are blacks scared straight by the law or by hell-raisin' whites?"

According to both Steve Sailer and Akinore, Blacks are somehow only scared of "hell raisin' whites". This post is a rebuttal to such a post.

These are the links to said posts: http://akinokure.blogspot.com/2012/11/are-blacks-scared-straight-by-law-or-by.html
http://isteve.blogspot.com/2012/10/dept-of-not-getting-moynihans-joke.html

This is a direct quote from Steve Sailer:

"By the way, when speaking about Massachusetts, it's important to keep in mind that a major reason it doesn't have many blacks and that its blacks aren't as big of a problem as elsewhere is because it has an abundance of violent, tribalist, anti-black Irish to keep the blacks down. Boston is the only place I've seen in the U.S. where blacks appeared to be afraid of white civilians walking down the street. Having a lot of scary Irish around makes theorizing at Harvard a lot more pleasant. 
In contrast, poor Milwaukee, a nice German social-democratic town (as Alice Cooper points out in Wayne's World, Socialist candidates were elected mayor of Milwaukee three times in the 1920s), had high welfare and a direct rail line from the Mississippi Delta, and it just got the worst of Southern blacks. "

And here is a quote from Akinokure:

But blacks look at the law enforcement system as just a bunch of overpaid punks -- whatchu pigs gon' do, huh? I'll sue for police brutality! That's when you need more rambunctious whites to curb bad black behavior at the grassroots level. Sometimes it takes barbarians to deter a savage."

If you read these posts closely enough, it is easy to tell that both persons have an agenda, an agenda that basically says "Blacks are savages that need to be controlled via violence". 

And read this link by Steve Sailer: http://www.vdare.com/articles/mapping-the-unmentionable-race-and-crime

According to both persons, Blacks were only well-behaved in the South because of large numbers of Whites who have Celtic ancestry. Akinore attributes this to "Honor Culture" and the "let's settle this ourselves" mentality.

I am not going to put the maps up. The maps are in the links.. However, I will include my own maps in all of this.

One thing to consider. Maps do not tell everything. The maps provided were to make a point.. However, these maps did not tell the whole story. Steve Sailer speaks of imprisonment levels among Blacks by state. Akinore is comparing the Black imprisonment rate to the number of persons who are of Celtic ancestry living in a certain place.

Another factor to consider is that the maps detailing the Black imprisonment by state are quite old. This is noted in the entry, that the maps came from 1997. However, it still does not help in 2013.

There are other factors to consider. Among them are education level, spatial distribution, average age, rural vs urban.

For Steve Sailer's assessment of Massachusetts vs Wisconsin and "not many Blacks being there, well, this is a assessment I see.

When it comes to the city of Boston, the city is 47% White, ad 15% of the population is of Irish ancestry. There are over 518,000 Blacks living in the state of Massachusetts as of 2012. Over 155,000 Blacks live in Boston. Compare this with Wisconsin. There are 372,000 Blacks in Wisconsin. Over 239,000 live in the city of Milwaukee. 257,000+  Black residents live in Milwaukee County at large. What does this say? Milwaukee County's Black residents live largely in the city of Milwaukee, and not that many live in the suburbs. In fact, Milwaukee metro is the nation's most segregated metropolitan area.

. Another link: http://www.uppitywis.org/blogarticle/why-milwaukee-nations-top-segregated-metro-one-reason-scott-w

Massachusetts has more Blacks in Boston than any other part of Massachusetts. However, sizable Black populations also live in places like Lynn, Springfield, Lowell, Brockton, etc

This brings us to another subject: The geography of prisons. Most prisoners come from the cities. This rings especially true for Black prisoners. Chances are, the majority of Black prisoners in Wisconsin often come from Milwaukee, where most of Wisconsin's Black population is concentrated.

Massachusetts, on the other hand, has more Blacks living in other areas besides the state's largest city. Chances are, much of the Black prison population in Massachusetts is coming from Boston, Springfield, and possibly Lynn.

And let's take this case even further. Mississippi has one of the lowest Black imprisonment rates in the nation. Mississippi is one of the least urbanized states in the nation. In fact, if you look at the Deep South, this is where the largest number of rural Blacks live. Like I said before, prisons tend to draw from cities.

And something else to consider. Massachusetts is locking up more people than ever before. Massachusetts started getting strict on crime in the late 1980s after Michael Dukakis(who was running for President at the time) was lambasted in a political campaign which involved using Willie Horton's picture. Boston's murder rate dropped from 152 murders in 1991, to 31 murders 1999. It took an effort on mayor Thomas Menino to have more crime fighting strategies to get the murder rate down.

And while Massachusetts doesn't have the nation's highest Black imprisonment rate, it has one of the nation's highest Hispanic imprisonment rates,
http://www.golocalworcester.com/news/ma-latino-incarceration-rate-4th-highest-in-us/
Maybe one should really ask what is going on there.

Something else. Maryland has the nation's 2nd lowest Black imprisonment rate(among U.S. states. DC isn't counted because it isn't a state). It is home to one of the most violent cities in the nation, Baltimore. In terms of ancestry, Maryland is mainly Irish, German, and African-American, as well as persons of British ancestry. Maryland is quite soft on crime compared to its neighbor to the South, Virginia. Black criminals from DC have preferred to go to Maryland than Virginia because the laws in Virginia are stricter. If the law doesn't scare many Black people, then why do Black criminals in DC commit so many crimes in Maryland and not in Virginia?

Another case. Texas and Louisiana. Both states have the death penalty and will use it. However, Texas has more Blacks locked up than Louisiana. Why? It is the way the justice system works. In Louisiana, criminals have often gotten away with murder because of the "60 day law". The way it works is if you get charged with murder, an indictment has to be filed within 60 days, or the charges get dropped. The deadline would sometimes pass without an indictment, and for that reason, criminals would be back on the streets committing more crimes. Texas had one of the highest murder rates in the nation during the 1980s. Houston even gained a title as the nation's murder capital one. However, the murder rate dropped dramatically in the late 1990s into the 2000s. Louisiana still has a high murder rate. Gangs from New Orleans went to Texas after Hurricane Katrina and found the legal system in Texas was quite different. If you got busted for murder, you were just busted. No way to get out of it. Many criminals just went back to Louisiana after finding out how strict things were. Perhaps the drop in murder for Texas had everything to do with criminals actually getting caught and charged, and actually convicted for their crimes.

Kentucky has a high number of persons with USA, Scottish, and Scotch-Irish ancestry. There are also fewer Blacks live in Kentucky than in Massachusetts. However, Kentucky has one of the highest Black imprisonment rates in the nation, 2793 Black prisoners per 100,000 Blacks.


And the case of German ancestry, well, consider this. Minnesota currently has one of the lowest Black imprisonment rates in the nation. It has also seen one of the largest growths in its Black population within the last 2 decades, as far as Midwestern states go.Minnesota has come a long way since the days of "Murderapolis", of the mid 1990s. Minnesota's murder rate is one of the lowest in the nation. Minnesota's Black murder rate is below the national average murder rate for Blacks, 11.68 murders per 100,000. The national murder rate for Blacks is 16.32 murders per 100,000.

The southern region of the USA, well consider this. There has been a large migration of Blacks from states such as New York, California, Illinois, Michigan, and other places into states such as Texas, Georgia, Virginia' and North Carolina. Perhaps with these migrants coming from other states have higher levels of education, and higher incomes, and are moving to these states because of opportunities. With that brings a different mentality. A much lesser likelihood of crime. Texas stands out because it has one of the highest Black imprisonment rates in the nation. Although large numbers of Blacks have moved to the state, and are often educated and middle class, there is one other thing to consider. Texas doesn't have as high of a rural Black population as Mississippi, Georgia, and South Carolina. Texas also has 3 of the nations 10 largest cities(in terms of population inside the city). Perhaps most Black prisoners in Texas are from Dallas, and Houston, as well as from Ft. Worth and San Antonio.

There is also something else to consider. Blacks do make up the largest number of those in prison. And the vast majority of the Black prison population is American. Boston has a sizable number of Blacks from the West Indies. Black West Indian immigrants often have highest levels of educational attainment(more college graduates) than Black Americans, and this case is even more so for Black Africans who come to the USA. There are lower imprisonment rates than among Black Americans. Lower rates of broken families as well.

Perhaps it isn't "Hell raisin' Whites" that "scares" Blacks. Perhaps its stable families and education that are very helpful.